The Israeli weapons dilemma

The Israeli weapons dilemma

Recent tensions in the Middle East, marked by drone attacks and Israeli retaliation, raise complex strategic questions about regional conflicts.

In October 2023, an attack by Hamas led to Israeli retaliation and an intensification of conflict in the Middle East. The destruction caused by an Iranian drone in Yemen and Israel’s retaliation highlight the region’s geopolitical challenges. The implications for regional security and international trade, notably via the Suez Canal, add layers of complexity to Israel’s actions against its enemies.

Iranian drone attack and Israeli response in Yemen

In July 2024, an Iranian drone launched by the Houthis hit Tel Aviv, causing one death and several injuries. This attack, which penetrated Israeli air defenses, triggered a series of retaliatory strikes against the port of Hudaydah, some 1,700 km from Israeli bases. The attack targeted strategic infrastructure, causing casualties and disrupting the operations of the Houthis, who depend on the port for the delivery of Iranian weapons.

This conflict highlights the challenges of drone warfare in the Middle East, where distance and air-to-air refueling capabilities influence military operations. Israel carried out these strikes with F-15s and F-35s, requiring air-to-air refueling over the Red Sea. For Israel, these operations also serve to counter the impact of the Houthis on commercial traffic to the Suez Canal, crucial to the Egyptian economy, with annual revenues approaching 10 billion euros.

The Hezbollah threat and Israel’s strategies to neutralize communications

In northern Israel, Hezbollah rocket attacks provoked unprecedented Israeli responses, including the use of explosives concealed in the organization’s communications equipment. By activating these devices, Israel disabled thousands of Hezbollah communication devices, disrupting their operations. The losses were heavy for Hezbollah, with dozens killed and thousands wounded, leaving them unable to coordinate their actions effectively.

This strategy of electronic warfare, coupled with targeted air strikes, has exacerbated confusion within Hezbollah, limiting their use of modern communications and forcing the use of alternative methods such as human mail and email. This is reminiscent of Israeli cyber capabilities, which have already shown their effectiveness in infiltrating the communication systems of their adversaries.

The Israeli weapons dilemma

The impact of tensions on trade and international alliances

Tensions in the region, particularly around the Suez Canal, have raised international concern. The canal is a major route for world trade, and the disruption caused by Houthi attacks has led several countries, including the United States, to send naval reinforcements to secure the area. The presence of an American aircraft carrier reinforced strike operations against the Houthis, illustrating the geopolitical importance of the canal for international trade and regional security.

The logistical costs of detour to avoid conflict zones increase shipping costs, and therefore the price of goods traded around the world. This context highlights the complexity of alliances in the Middle East, where economic and security interests intersect. The coalition between Israel and its allies to secure maritime trade is crucial in the face of the disruption caused by asymmetric attacks by Iranian-backed militias.

The strategic implications of asymmetrical warfare in the region

Iran’s actions, through its allies in Yemen and Lebanon, reflect a strategy of asymmetrical warfare, aimed at circumventing the conventional military power of Israel and its allies. Despite economic sanctions that weigh heavily on its economy, Iran persists in using regional militias to indirectly weaken its adversaries. The conflict also illustrated Israel’s defense capabilities, notably the responsiveness of its strikes and the use of advanced technologies to neutralize threats.

Iran, an ally of Russia and North Korea in a context of global tensions, seems determined to play a disruptive role in the region. Although these alliances do not have the strength to transform the military balance on a global scale, they do influence the course of conflicts locally, and highlight the challenges to stability in the Middle East. For Israel, maintaining a position of strength in this context requires constant vigilance and rapid adaptation to the changing tactics of its adversaries.

War Wings Daily is an independant magazine.